Last month a head and shoulders pattern formed on the Dow Jones Industrial daily chart. The neckline of the pattern around the 27500 level was intersecting with the rising 50 day moving average. A break through those support levels projected a return to the 2600 area and had the potential for a much deeper loss.… Read More »
The previous post looked at the possible formation of a bear flag on the NASDAQ Composite daily chart. It implied a decline that retraced 50% of the previous March/September rally range. Another bearish reversal formation is under construction and near completion on the Dow Jones Industrial Average chart. A classic head and shoulders pattern has… Read More »
Last week the NASDAQ Composite broke the long term trend line that has defined the six month March/September rally. Since then it has been trading in a narrow range below that uptrend line and around its 50 day moving average. The price action since the NAZ made its recent high and the consolidation after the… Read More »
There is always an event that we look back and say, “Yes, that marked the top.” The much celebrated Snowflake initial public offering may be such an event. It may not be a long term top but the charts suggest we could see a significant pullback. Take a look at the seven month charts of… Read More »
The financial sector has chronically under-performed the broader market over an extended period of time. That dynamic may be in the early stages of a transformation. Last week the S&P 500 Index returned to its high of the year. This week it has made incrementally new all-time highs. By contrast the financial sector, as represented… Read More »
(Back from a long vacation.) The price of Bitcoin has rallied right along with the stock market over the last several months. But Bitcoin has been engaged in a much more significant process over the last ten months. It has been forming a strong foundational base. The recent breakout from that base could propel the… Read More »
Reverse engineering a chart pattern is a simple but unique way to upgrade your scanning methodology, and it can prevent highway-like chart hypnosis.
Here are six stocks with solid chart patterns, improving price momentum and money flow and they have large outstanding short positions. The implication is that if there are bullish chart pattern breakouts, the shorts will be forced to cover their positions. This would initiate short covering rallies in the stocks. Remember though, often times the… Read More »
The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJIA) dropped below its 200 day moving average in early June. It’s been trading just below the horizontally trending 200 day average and more recently above a rising 50 day average. Over time this the area between the two averages compressed along with the Dow’s average true range and Bollinger… Read More »
Interest rates have been moving lower and for a long time. If you were on a fixed income like a pension during this period you’re a happy person. The low interest rate environment produced little or no inflation. This preserved the buying power of your income over time. If, on the other hand, you bought… Read More »