The S&P 500 index spent most of the month of August consolidating in a 4% wide channel between 2940 and 2820. This month it broke above resistance and traded up to the area of the July highs. A closer look at the S&P 500 daily chart shows new resistance in the 3030 to 3020 area.… Read More »
Thursday on Twitter we pondered the possibility that a bullish morningstar reversal pattern could be forming on the $SPY daily chart. The only piece of the pattern missing was the third and final large bodied up-day candle. That was exactly what we got at the end of Friday’s strong session, with the formation of a… Read More »
Federal Reserve Chairpersons never reveal very much about the Board’s economic policy between formal board meetings. Chairman Powell may break that tradition when he speaks at 1:00 PM today. The markets will wait and whatever they are given in the way of new, or regurgitated information, they will attempt to use to further reiforce their… Read More »
The iPath Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) tracks an index with exposure to futures contracts on the CBOE Volatility Index with average 1-month maturity. It resets daily so traders should use it as a short term and not a long term trading vehicle. That said, a bullish morningstar reversal pattern has developed on the VXX weekly… Read More »
Bond yields continue to reflect a risk-off environment. It has been that way for a long time but when that docile dynamic starts to reverse, it could accelerate quickly. Traders should be prepared to profit from the machinations of the “bond vigilantes,” and higher yields. Jeffrey Gundlach, of DoubleLine Capital has been warning about corporate… Read More »
All the significant highs that were made on the Russell 2000 (RUT) chart, going back to October 2018 have been signaled by an eveningstar candle pattern. Most readers know what a candlestick pattern is and what it suggests about trader sentiment. The eveningstar is a three day reversal pattern that starts with a large up-day… Read More »
Caterpillar (CAT) is a component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and, as such, is a good measure of the condition of the traditional industrial sector. It’s machinery is used in mining, agriculture, infrastructure rebuilding, and many other areas of heavy construction. Another aspect of Caterpillar’s importance is as a measure of the world… Read More »
The S&P 500 index is back to its September 2018 high. It has managed to retrace all of that late year decline. This means that traders who held on and rode out the volatility of the last five months are back to even. The adroit traders who sold near the highs last year and were… Read More »
A nearly seven month inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed on the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) weekly chart. This bottoming process began in October last year and was completed by a neckline breakout this month. The left shoulder formed after the XLF made a low in October in the $25 area, and… Read More »
In January this year, the price of West Texas Intermediate Crude and the oil services sector stocks, as represented by the VanEck Vector Oil Services ETF (OIH), both jumped higher. In February their upside trajectories flattened out. Then in March crude prices began to rise again but the services sector lagged behind. This month the… Read More »