At noon on Wednesday I Tweeted out “am I the first to call double top?” I attached this weekly chart of the NASDAQ Composite chart. The Tweet was tongue-in-cheek but as it turned out two hours later in another tweet, I noted a possible head and shoulders pattern forming on the daily NASDAQ chart. It… Read More »
Last month a head and shoulders pattern formed on the Dow Jones Industrial daily chart. The neckline of the pattern around the 27500 level was intersecting with the rising 50 day moving average. A break through those support levels projected a return to the 2600 area and had the potential for a much deeper loss.… Read More »
The previous post looked at the possible formation of a bear flag on the NASDAQ Composite daily chart. It implied a decline that retraced 50% of the previous March/September rally range. Another bearish reversal formation is under construction and near completion on the Dow Jones Industrial Average chart. A classic head and shoulders pattern has… Read More »
There is always an event that we look back and say, “Yes, that marked the top.” The much celebrated Snowflake initial public offering may be such an event. It may not be a long term top but the charts suggest we could see a significant pullback. Take a look at the seven month charts of… Read More »
The financial sector has chronically under-performed the broader market over an extended period of time. That dynamic may be in the early stages of a transformation. Last week the S&P 500 Index returned to its high of the year. This week it has made incrementally new all-time highs. By contrast the financial sector, as represented… Read More »
Reverse engineering a chart pattern is a simple but unique way to upgrade your scanning methodology, and it can prevent highway-like chart hypnosis.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJIA) dropped below its 200 day moving average in early June. It’s been trading just below the horizontally trending 200 day average and more recently above a rising 50 day average. Over time this the area between the two averages compressed along with the Dow’s average true range and Bollinger… Read More »
The market got a scare in the last two hours of trading on Monday. There was a sharp drop in equity prices on news that some businesses in California were being closed again and of renewed US/China tensions in the East China sea. The broader market dropped sharply and the Volatility Index jumped closing the… Read More »
Interest rates have been moving lower and for a long time. If you were on a fixed income like a pension during this period you’re a happy person. The low interest rate environment produced little or no inflation. This preserved the buying power of your income over time. If, on the other hand, you bought… Read More »
"There is no S&P index anymore. It's just a few names." @CarterBWorth takes to the charts to explain the market's major bifurcation. pic.twitter.com/PYykZ6Z4lP — CNBC's Fast Money (@CNBCFastMoney) July 6, 2020 “Chart Master” Carter Worth checks out the concentration of capital issue in the S&P 500 index. This overweighting problem is why, when traders finally… Read More »