Category Archives: Market Overview

H&S Top On The NASDAQ Chart – Identical To The One In Early September – That One Sparked A 12% Decline

At noon on Wednesday I Tweeted out “am I the first to call double top?” I attached this weekly chart of the NASDAQ Composite chart. The Tweet was tongue-in-cheek but as it turned out two hours later in another tweet, I noted a possible head and shoulders pattern forming on the daily NASDAQ chart. It… Read More »

Potential Head And Shoulders Top Forming On The Dow Chart

The previous post looked at the possible formation of a bear flag on the NASDAQ Composite daily chart. It implied a decline that retraced 50% of the previous March/September rally range. Another bearish reversal formation is under construction and near completion on the Dow Jones Industrial Average chart. A classic head and shoulders pattern has… Read More »

The Financial Sector Could Be Poised To Out Perform The Broader Market

The financial sector has chronically under-performed the broader market over an extended period of time. That dynamic may be in the early stages of a transformation. Last week the S&P 500 Index returned to its high of the year. This week it has made incrementally new all-time highs. By contrast the financial sector, as represented… Read More »

The DOW – Bullish Breakout From a Moving Average Squeeze And There Is Plenty Of Upside

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJIA) dropped below its 200 day moving average in early June. It’s been trading just below the horizontally trending 200 day average and more recently above a rising 50 day average. Over time this the area between the two averages compressed along with the Dow’s average true range and Bollinger… Read More »

The Volatility Index And The Anomaly At The 26 Level – “The line must drawn here! No further!”

The market got a scare in the last two hours of trading on Monday. There was a sharp drop in equity prices on news that some businesses in California were being closed again and of renewed US/China tensions in the East China sea. The broader market dropped sharply and the Volatility Index jumped closing the… Read More »

“There is no S&P 500 index anymore.” Here’s Why.

"There is no S&P index anymore. It's just a few names." @CarterBWorth takes to the charts to explain the market's major bifurcation. pic.twitter.com/PYykZ6Z4lP — CNBC's Fast Money (@CNBCFastMoney) July 6, 2020 “Chart Master” Carter Worth checks out the concentration of capital issue in the S&P 500 index. This overweighting problem is why, when traders finally… Read More »